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NFL Wild Card Weekend: Matchups, Lines, and Picks

Written by Doug Gann

January 6, 2025


Alright, fellas, Wild Card Weekend is here, and the playoff madness is about to kick off. Let’s break down the games, look at the betting lines, and talk about who’s punching their ticket to the next round.


AFC Matchups

Chargers @ Texans
Let’s start with the Chargers heading to Houston. The Bolts are favored by 2.5 points, and honestly, that feels about right. Justin Herbert’s been balling this year, and their offense can put up points in bunches. The Texans? They’ve overachieved this season, but their quarterback situation has been dicey with injuries. Their defense will have to pull off something special to keep this close.

Pick: Chargers cover. Herbert is too good, and Houston doesn’t have the firepower to keep up.


Steelers @ Ravens
This one’s a classic AFC North slugfest. The Ravens are laying 9.5 points, which seems big until you remember how dominant they’ve been. Lamar Jackson is back to MVP form, and their defense has been a brick wall. Pittsburgh’s got Russell Wilson under center now, and he’s been solid since taking over midseason. Wilson’s experience gives them a fighting chance, but the Steelers’ offense as a whole has been inconsistent.

Pick: Ravens win, but the Steelers cover. Wilson’s veteran savvy keeps it closer than the line suggests.


Broncos @ Bills
This matchup could get lopsided. Buffalo is an 8.5-point favorite, and for good reason. Josh Allen has been cooking all season, and they’re nearly unbeatable at home. The Broncos are a fun story with rookie QB Bo Nix leading the charge, but playoff football in Buffalo is a different beast. Denver’s defense has been solid, but Allen’s dual-threat ability will be tough to contain.

Pick: Bills win and cover. Buffalo’s just too much for the young Broncos.


NFC Matchups

Packers @ Eagles
Philly has been one of the most complete teams all year, and they’re favored by 3.5 points at home. Jalen Hurts has the offense humming, and their defense is one of the best in the league. The Packers? They’ve shown flashes, but Jordan Love has been inconsistent, and going into Philly in January is no joke. That Eagles crowd is going to be wild.

Pick: Eagles win and cover. Philly’s balance on both sides of the ball is too much for the Packers.


Commanders @ Buccaneers
This one’s got potential for some chaos. The Bucs are favored by 3 points, with Baker Mayfield quietly putting together a solid season. Tampa’s offense has been clicking, but their defense is vulnerable. The Commanders are rolling with rookie QB Jayden Daniels, who’s been exciting but prone to rookie mistakes. Can Daniels handle the pressure of a playoff game in Tampa?

Pick: Buccaneers win and cover. Mayfield’s experience makes the difference in a close one.


Vikings @ Rams
Here’s the Monday night thriller. The Vikings are laying 2.5 points on the road, and they’ve been rolling this season. Sam Darnold has been a revelation, leading a high-powered offense that’s tough to stop. The Rams, though, still have Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay, and they know how to win in big moments. This one feel like it could go down to the wire.

Pick: Vikings win and cover. Darnold and the Vikings’ offense make just enough plays to edge out the Rams.


Quick Recap

  • Chargers cover in Houston.
  • Ravens win; Steelers cover.
  • Bills dominate the Broncos.
  • Eagles handle the Packers.
  • Buccaneers edge out the Commanders.
  • Vikings survive against the Rams.

There you have it, guys. Wild Card Weekend is shaping up to be a great one, and we’ve got some killer matchups. Grab your snacks, settle in, and let’s enjoy the chaos. Who do you like this weekend? Let’s hear your picks!

Written by Doug Gann

January 6, 2025

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